The early bets

What his companies are building that does not yet earn much: refineries, fabs, robots, chips, compute in orbit, payments, brain implants. Where each stands, what it costs, what it would change if it works, and what he has predicted about it, scored against his record.

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Where each venture stands

Each line a venture, from the first time it was proposed. Dots are events on the record; the line thickens once it reaches pilot or production. Diamonds ahead of today are the dated milestones to watch.

What to watch, the next two years

Every dated milestone across the ventures, soonest first. Where he has made it a prediction, the date his record says to expect.

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Neuralink and Boring, in full

The two private companies have their own page: funding, operations, cost per mile against subways, rivals, regulators, and what $10B a year would take. Neuralink and Boring →

Method